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The research catalogue is an archive of ESRC-funded grants and outputs. Links, files and other content will no longer be maintained or updated after April 2014.

The Impacts of Fall in Exports on Livelihoods in China:Urban Unemployment, Rural Poverty and the Welfare of Rural-urban Migrants

The aim of the project is to identify, describe and produce an analysis of the interacting means by which the fall in exports since the international economic crisis is affecting people's livelihoods in China, and to appraise policy responses.

To pursue this aim, the project has set the following specific objectives:

  1. To track changes in poverty broadly defined in China before, during and after the current economic crisis, using longitudinal household survey data that covers urban residents, rural residents and rural-urban migrants, as well as recording labour market outcomes; incomes; and education and health.
  2.  To estimate using longitudinal data the impact of adverse movements in wages and employment on the key outcomes of interest - including income poverty, growth, inequality; and social indicators.
  3. To identify policy options and make recommendations about how to monitor and alleviate poverty in China in the event of the present and similar economic crises, whether international or domestic.

The project will use data from the Chinese Household Income Program Surveys (2008-2012). This longitudinal data allows tracing changes in income and employment, mapping their impacts on poverty and welfare due to the economic shocks since the fall in China's massive exports.