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The research catalogue is an archive of ESRC-funded grants and outputs. Links, files and other content will no longer be maintained or updated after April 2014.

Chinese Competition and the Restructuring of South African Manufacturing

China has been seen as both an opportunity and a terrifying threat to South Africa.  Many of the perceived threats, as well as some of the opportunities arise in the manufacturing sector which is the focus of the project. 

The project analyses the impact of Chinese competition on South African manufacturing. First it considers bilateral trade between China and South Africa, the types of goods involved and their technology level. Second, it will analyse competition between Chinese and South African goods in South Africa's principal export markets, the EU, USA and Sub-Saharan Africa. 

In addition to identifying the industries most at risk from Chinese competition, the study will then analyse the impacts that China has had on a number of key indicators of industrial performance, focussing particularly on productivity, prices, employment and wages.

Trade data and industrial production, employment and wage data for South Africa, will be used to estimate the extent of Chinese import penetration in South Africa and the displacement of South African exports in other markets. Panel data econometrics will be used to analyse the impact of Chinese competition on South African exports, employment and wages.